Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.008489 0.009962 0.011728 0.014031 0.017009 0.020806 0.026140
2025-10-12 0.006733 0.008528 0.010932 0.014509 0.019927 0.028273 0.043160
2025-10-19 0.005598 0.007424 0.010045 0.014293 0.021487 0.034293 0.062320
2025-10-26 0.004921 0.006762 0.009554 0.014411 0.023469 0.041918 0.091802
2025-11-02 0.004350 0.006137 0.008960 0.014150 0.024617 0.048562 0.127859
2025-11-09 0.003808 0.005469 0.008168 0.013324 0.024328 0.051835 0.159758
2025-11-16 0.003401 0.004960 0.007557 0.012688 0.024222 0.055580 0.202252
2025-11-23 0.003183 0.004730 0.007385 0.012862 0.026022 0.066133 0.310983
2025-11-30 0.002940 0.004430 0.007042 0.012609 0.026691 0.073787 0.441286
2025-12-07 0.002704 0.004116 0.006634 0.012135 0.026628 0.078929 0.590769
2025-12-14 0.002531 0.003896 0.006375 0.011941 0.027293 0.087889 0.890947
2025-12-21 0.002453 0.003836 0.006416 0.012440 0.030234 0.111138 2.050529
2025-12-28 0.002412 0.003852 0.006635 0.013503 0.035895 0.163200 13.776137
2026-01-04 0.002311 0.003750 0.006605 0.013954 0.039892 0.219768 843.936421
2026-01-11 0.002170 0.003556 0.006352 0.013749 0.041276 0.261733 NaN
2026-01-18 0.002068 0.003426 0.006223 0.013861 0.044161 0.337303 NaN
2026-01-25 0.001951 0.003259 0.005988 0.013614 0.045315 0.401733 NaN
2026-02-01 0.001811 0.003034 0.005599 0.012830 0.043448 0.409687 NaN
2026-02-08 0.001694 0.002848 0.005285 0.012226 0.042275 0.430623 NaN
2026-02-15 0.001635 0.002775 0.005222 0.012391 0.045354 0.579588 NaN
2026-02-22 0.001557 0.002658 0.005043 0.012151 0.046069 0.686465 NaN
2026-03-01 0.001474 0.002524 0.004812 0.011701 0.045323 0.745680 NaN
2026-03-08 0.001411 0.002429 0.004668 0.011516 0.046175 0.900432 NaN